The longer the Hong Kong port authorities are unable to furnish a legal reason for the impounding of the SAF’s Terrex ICVs, the more it will strengthen the argument that the initial action has to do with the downturn in China-Singapore relations. My humble opinion, that’s all
Better analysts than I have been weighing in on this issue. Here are some of my favourites. Defence blogger and former Straits Times defence correspondent, David Boey, wrote about the teachable moments in his personal blog. David argues that “SG-Sino relations are far stronger than what the western media makes it out to be and … More More Analyses on the Terrex Imbroglio
I had wanted to hold off on writing about this issue, because the story is still developing, and there are aspects to the story that have yet to be revealed. That being said, I learnt some things yesterday that were, in my opinion, quite gobsmacking. When the story first broke that SAF Terrex ICVs had … More Complacency and Arrogance in the Terrex Incident
My colleague and former PhD student, Collin Koh, provides what is to me an eminently sensible explanation of Malaysia’s decision to acquire Chinese naval vessels. Not sure I agree with his entire argument, but it is difficult to argue against it.
In September 2016, the Philippines’ President, Roderigo Duterte (DU30) claimed that he is willing to ‘cross the Rubicon’ in terms of the Philippines’ historic security relationship with the United States, and tilt the country towards Russia and China. To be clear, DU30 insists he does not mean cutting ties with the United States; rather he … More Making Sense of the Philippines ‘Crossing the Rubicon’
The recent spat between Singapore and China is, in my opinion, instructive of global attempts at socialising China into the existing rules-based international order. Ever since Deng Xiaoping took control of Chinese politics, China has undergone a series of remarkable economic reforms that transformed China’s economy into one of the world’s largest economies, second currently … More Singapore-China Spat October 2016: my views
This is something that I have wanted to write about for some time. When the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) delivered its ruling in August 2016, it left absolutely no doubt that the Spratly Islands are precisely not that, islands! For China, indeed any other state, to claim the Spratly Islands as theirs, and to … More The Strategic Hubris of “Socialising” China: The Lessons of the PCA Ruling